May 2, 2024

Numbing Numbers

In my blog last week about a career in sales, I wrote, “It’s in our DNA to want to help people.  Helping people gives our lives purpose, meaning and a sense of satisfaction.”

Yes, we want to help people, but media coverage of all of the concurrent disasters — leaving Afganastan, Covid-19 Delta variant deaths increasing, hurricane Ida, fires in the western U.S., vaccination and mask-wearing denial — is not helping us.

The editors in the news media who make decisions on what news to cover and how to cover it have an impossible dilemma: Which disaster to give front-page, lead-TV-news story most prominence and whether to give overall statistics and numbers or focus on humanizing the story by focusing on a single victim.

Editors know about the identifiable victim effect which indicates that if you want people to get involved emotionally and to give money, it is best to focus on one person such as showing a photo of a forlorn child rather than quoting statistics about a million people needing help. The child is a person, a million people is a just non-personal number. Or as Mother Teresa said, “Never worry about numbers. Help one person at a time and always start with the person nearest you.”

Nevertheless, editors have news to cover: how many people died in the suicide bombing at the Kabul airport, how many people have been evacuated, how many people left behind in Kabul, by state what percent of people have been vaccinated, have been hospitalized, how many have died or how many acres have been ravaged by fires. All are non-relatable numbers, but they need to be reported.

But I can’t remember a time in our history (I was born in 1932) when there have been so many disasters happening concurrently. Too many disasters, and, thus, way too many numbers. All the disasters and numbers have numbed me. If the numbers have numbed me, what have they done to journalists? They have to report on the numbing numbers and not get involved emotionally in their stories. It must be really hard.

In the spring and summer of 2020, at the height of the pandemic crisis in New York City, residents our block on East 95th Street came out on our stoops to bang on pots and pans and applaud for essential workers — doctors, nurses, hospital workers, delivery people.

I’d like to find a way to do something to applaud the essential journalists who are hanging in there and covering the multiple disasters for us. Not Fox News, of course. They are making things worse.

Any ideas on how we can applaud these harried newspeople?

$750

“$750 in 2016 and 2017,” is what flashed into mind when I saw Trump, wearing the biggest mask I’ve ever seen, get into the helicopter that took him to Walter Reed Medical Center to treat his COVID-19 infection.

How much did that helicopter ride cost the American taxpayers? How much is his medical team of at least ten people at one of the best hospitals in the world costing the American taxpayers?

How much did the White House super-spreading reception last Saturday, September 26, for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett cost the American taxpayers?

All of the above cost in multiples of 100 times more than the $750 Trump paid in Federal Income Taxes in 2016 and 2017, and as a taxpayer I’m outraged.

But isn’t it crass, heartless and dehumanizing to look at the monetary implications of the President’s illness, even when the hypercritical NY Times’s Editorial Board writes, “Get Well, Mr. President.”

Yes, putting Trump’s illness in monetary terms is crass, heartless and dehumanizing. But it’s exactly how Trump approaches the job of being President — from a monetary, transactional perspective, and not from a perspective of what is best for taxpayers, but what is monetarily best for him.

Many people who are familiar with Trump’s personal and business background believe that he ran for President as a marketing ploy to help him get out of a bad financial crunch. The NY Times reporting on his tax returns, which it finally got a hold of, show Trump is a terrible businessman, an abject failure as a real estate developer. What saved him was the celebrity he got from “The Apprentice.” He licensed his name to businesses, and then became the Kim Kardashian of politics.

Trump has no humanity, no empathy, no greater purpose than to rob taxpayers. He has no class, no honesty, and no decency, and, up until his perb walk to the hospital-bound helicopter, no mask.

If I were the Secretary of the Treasury, I would send a bill to Trump for every mask he now has to wear for $750.

What If Women Were in Charge?

When I was listening to The New York Times podcast “The Argument” that was critical of New York mayor Bill De Blasio’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic, I asked myself, “I wonder if the decisions would have been different if a woman had been in charge?”

I had supported Christine Quinn to replace Michael Bloomberg as mayor of New York, but she lost to De Blasio. I had supported Zephyr Teachout when she ran against New York governor Andrew Cuomo in 2014 and lost. I had supported Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. At the beginning of the current Democratic presidential nomination process I supported Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren, much to the horror of my conservative friends. I supported all of these women because I have long felt that old, white men have screwed up our cities, states, countries and the world long enough and that we needed women in charge in order to build a more compassionate, empathetic and equal world.

Therefore, I created several spreadsheets to see if countries, U.S. states and cities were safer during the pandemic with women in charge. The metric I used to assess safety were COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 people because this is a much better metric than total COVID-19 deaths, which of course depend on population.

In the United States, the average number of deaths per 100,000 people as of May 22 in the 50 states was 22.5. The average number of deaths in the nine states with female governors was 18.3, or 24 percent better. Therefore, my initial reaction was that my hypothesis that we’re safer with women in charge was correct.

However, I realized that correlation does not mean causation, and that there was also a strong correlation between low deaths per 100,000 and a state’s population — the lower a state’s population, generally the lower the COVID-19 deaths per 100.000. Therefore, it’s probably OK to say that’s it’s safer to live in a state with a small population and with a female governor. In other words, it’s safer to live anywhere in the U.S.A. other than in New York City, the world’s most dangerous city where the deaths-per-100,000 (193.71) are so awful that they skew averages and make America look worse than other countries. You can check out my spreadsheets in the Publications section of my website.

I looked at the top 25 American cities to see if having a female mayor made cities safer. I saw the same pattern as in states. The average deaths per 100,000 people in the top 25 cities as of May 22 was 77.4, and the average deaths per 100,000 people in the six cities with female mayors was 44.3, or a big 75 percent advantage. But, again as in states, the six cities with female mayors were not New York and were in smaller cities, with one exception, Chicago.

In six Asian countries — China, India, Indonesia, Japan and Taiwan — the average deaths per 100,000 people was a mere .38, which means that these Asian countries did an infinitely better job of managing COVID-19 than America did. We may not be certain that the numbers from China or India are real, but they are generally in line with numbers of the other Asian countries. Of the six Asian countries I looked at, the only one that had a female head of state was Taiwan, the smallest of the six by far. Taiwan had only seven deaths, or an incredibly low 0.03 deaths per 100,000.

In 21 counties in Western Europe, the average deaths per 100,000 people was 22.35. In the eight countries with female heads of state, the average deaths per 100,000 was a comparatively miniscule 4.16. This low 4.16 average included Belgium which has a female head of state and which led Western Europe in deaths per 100,000 with 83.25. I could find no clues as why Belgium was such an outlier, but what it means is that the Belgium numbers bring up the others, which, in turn, shows what a great job the other female heads of state did, especially Angela Merkel of Germany, Western Europe’s largest country with just 9.96 deaths per 100,000.

Scandinavian countries provide another example of places being safer with women in charge. Of the four Scandinavia countries, three — Denmark, Norway and Finland — have female heads of state. The average deaths per 100,000 for the four countries as of May 22 was 14.9. The average of the three headed by women was 4.95, a whopping 300 percent advantage.

Of course I have to admit that the three Scandinavian countries with women in charge are half as big as Sweden, the one with man in charge. So, consistent with U.S. states and cities, and the six Asian countries, women tend to be in charge of smaller places. Therefore, it probably makes sense to say that it’s safer to live where there are fewer people and where a woman is in charge.

The other thing I realized in doing this analysis is that the media I am most familiar with — The New York Times, the Washington Post, the podcasts I listen to and the “PBS NewHour” — focus on trashing Trump’s historic incompetence and complete lack of empathy in managing the COVID-19 pandemic. They also seem to focus on praising male governors such as New York’s media center darling, Andrew Cuomo, California’s Gavin Newsom, Ohio’s Mike DeWine, and Washington’s Jay Islee, but ignore the story of women who are doing a fabulous job of keeping us safe: London Breed, Mayor of San Francisco; Jenny Durkan, Mayor of Seattle; Angela Merkel, Chancellor of Germany; Zuzana Caputova, President of Slovakia; and Katerina Sakellaropoulou, President of Greece.

As usual, the media are controlled mostly by white men, thus women don’t seem to get the credit they deserve. We’ll never know the counterfactual, or what would have happened when the COVID-19 virus hit if Hillary Clinton had been president, or Zephyr Teachout had been governor of New York or Christine Quinn had been mayor of New York City. However, we do know this: it couldn’t have possibly been any worse.

Let’s put more women in charge. We’ll get more compassion, more empathy and more equality.

Fox News’s Contempt for the Truth of COVID-19

The Washington Post’s headline for a March 10, 2020, article by Max Boot hit the nail on the head: “The right-wing media’s contempt for the truth has never been more dangerous.”

Boot’s lead read:

“President Trump has been widely and correctly excoriated for the way he is dealing with the novel coronavirus. By minimizing the danger, he heightens it. Even on Monday, Trump was comparing COVID-19 to the ordinary flu, even though its mortality rate appears to be many times higher and its economic effect infinitely greater. New York magazine’s Jonathan Chait is right that Trump is acting like “the mayor in Jaws, blithely ignoring reports of a gigantic shark because he didn’t want to hurt the tourism season.”

Boot then goes on to detail how Fox News promulgates narratives “so at odds with reality that they are likely to get people killed.” Boot cites comments by Fox News liar-in-chief, Sean Hannity, and bloviator Tucker Carlson that support Trump’s delusional thinking about COVID-19 and minimize the pandemic’s danger.

Boot’s Washington Post article also links to the liberal-leaning fact-checking website Media Matters For America, which has video links to many Fox News’s and Fox Business’s most egregious lies about COVID-19. And if you want to raise the hackles on the back of your neck even higher, view the video of Rush Limbaugh huffing and puffing about COVID-19: “Who cares if it’s 10 times more lethal than the flu?”

What has happened to the media that we have the completely fake news of Fox News and have to have an organization like Media Matters to keep track of and document the lies of Fox News and the right-wing media?

What happened to the media is greed–pure economics, as detailed brilliantly in James T. Hamilton’s All the News That’s Fit To Sell: How the Market Transforms Information Into News.

I think there are three events in the history of television news that are bellwethers of the TV news switch from public service to profits being the indicator of success:

  1. In 1965, KYW-TV’s news director, Al Primo, created the “Eyewitness News” format for the Philadelphia station’s local newscasts. The news philosophy was “if it bleeds, it leads.” The news anchors became personalities instead of presenters and used banter, or “happy talk,” between stories. KYW-TV’s “Eyewitness News” overtook market leader, CBS-owned WCAU-TV, in the ratings. The strategy behind the “Eyewitness News” programming was if news stories were sensational, outrageous, and scary enough about crime, they would instill fear in viewers and, thus, were the path to higher ratings.
  2. In 1986, CBS founder, William S. Paley, was 85 and was still CEO of a foundering CBS, which was the target of several hostile takeover attempts by, among others, Ted Turner, Marvin Davis, and Ivan Boesky. Paley invited investor (and bottom-feeder) Larry Tisch to invest in CBS and help stop the other takeovers. Tisch invested $750 million for a 24.9 percent stake in the company, and within a few months, with Paley’s support, Tisch became CBS’s CEO. And, thus, began the Tisch era of ruthless cost cutting. Tisch fired 230 of 1,200 news division employees and cut $30 million from the news division’s budget because Tisch believed that the news division should make a profit, which was an unheard of concept up to that point. A younger Paley and his long-time president, Frank Stanton (since 1946) had always believed that news was a public service and that the CBS news division was not expected to enhance CBS’s bottom line: public service, not profit. Tisch changed that, and NBC followed suit the same year and demanded that its news division be profitable.
  3. In 1996, News Corp. CEO Rupert Murdoch hired former Republican consultant, Roger Ailes, to create the Fox News Channel. The decision to slant its news programming toward the right was a financial one, not an ideological decision. Murdoch has always been more about money and profit than ideology. What the financial success of Fox News signaled was that there was a lot of money to be made pandering to conservatives. For example, the conspiracy theorist and wingnut, Alex Jones, is telling his viewers that the toothpaste he is selling will kill the COVID-19 virus. If you are dumb enough to watch Alex Jones, you’re dumb enough to buy his toothpaste and probably dumb enough to vote for Trump in 2020.

Fox News’s contempt for the COVID-19 truth is like the virus itself–it infects people and kills reality.